GuestUnlock
← Back to watchlist
CRDO
OwnedResearchmedium convictionhigh potential
Credo Technology
$303
USD
+11.3%
wait
Thesis intact and strengthening, but optics sleeve overweight 29.6% blocks add and Q4 FY26 print (~Jun 2026) is the customer-concentration gate.
May 8, 12:38 p.m.
Preview
Post-earnings
Day-3: pullback fully recovered (+3.8% vs entry); Goldman PT $250 (from $170); 8 sell-side updates, 7 raises; hold.
Jun 3, 04:30 a.m.
Form 4 filed June 15, 2026; Q4 FY26 earnings print (~June 2026) was the customer-concentration gate per 2026-05-08 evaluation — confirm whether print has occurred and concentration risk cleared before updating hold conviction.
Jun 16, 05:38 a.m.Source: 2026-06-16_premarket.mdConsensus PT: $256
Latest imported research note for this ticker.
longwatchDamnang Credo Deep Dive 2026-05-XX (RSS surface 2026-05-07)
Imported thesis
SerDes IP + ZeroFlap reliability create durable moat in AI fabric SerDes/AEC; DustPhotonics acquisition brings silicon photonics PIC in-house.
Imported reasoning
Convex sleeve anchor. Position established 2026-05-26: FULL deployment 91 sh @ $224.20 in TFSA = $20,402 USD ≈ $27.7K CAD (user skipped the half-starter tranching; chose full conviction). Tranche-2 gate from May 24 deep-dive (CPO milestones / DustPhotonics close / Q4 GM ≥64%) is MOOT — no tranche 2 to gate. Exit triggers: trim 1/3 at +75%, trim 1/3 at +200%, -25% re-underwrite, -40% forced exit. Thesis-break disqualifiers: lose top-3 customer, DustPhotonics terminated, named hyperscaler picks competitor for flagship 2027 program, Q4/Q1 GM sub-60%.
Last imported
May 26, 04:00 a.m.
Source report
Owned position 1 holding
Share totals, account placement, average cost, and trigger-based entry levels remain private.
Public watchlist context and imported research metadata.
Thesis
No thesis note yet.
Sleeve
convex
Consensus PT (USD)
$256
1 holding recorded for this ticker. Share totals, account placement, and cost basis remain private.
@babyfolio
2 mentions · 2 bullish / 0 bearish
Jun 13bullishhighSource ↗

CRDO is a high-conviction long-term holding well-positioned for sustained growth in AI data analytics.

Jun 6bullishmediumSource ↗

Optical-interconnect play considered as core holding in concentrated AI-infrastructure portfolio.

@ParadisLabs
2 mentions · 1 bullish / 0 bearish
Jun 1bullishhighSource ↗

Coherent positive earnings (Rev +157% YoY, EPS +231% YoY with raised guidance) indicates strong demand for silicon photonics chips.

May 27neutrallowSource ↗

Cerrado under exploratory consideration as potential holding, but conviction remains tentative without specific catalyst.