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Hyperscaler capex tracker sourced from EDGAR 10-Q filings.

Most recent reporting period: META 2026Q2 (updated Aug 17, 03:30 a.m.)

Tripwire #1 (capex retrenchment): ORCL 2026Q2 -11.5%
Tripwire #5 (FCF negative): GOOG 2026Q2 FCF $-5.9B, AMZN 2026Q2 FCF $-8.8B, ORCL 2026Q2 FCF $-1.9B

Data stale: ORCL (53d old)

Regime: NEUTRAL — F&G 55 / VIX 15.1 / SPX P/E 25.8

Trending Themes

Optical Interconnects (200G/400G/800G)

5.3x
60 mentions • driven by @aleabitoreddit (11), @ParadisLabs (1), @jukan05 (1)

Multi-year optical demand and pricing power validated through H2 2027 across major hyperscaler customers.

Electrons / Grid Supply

2.0x
6 mentions • driven by @ParadisLabs (1), @babyfolio (1), @jukan05 (1)

Neocloud datacenter buildout requires significant power supply infrastructure investment and buildout.

Inference Specialization

2.0x
19 mentions • driven by @zephyr_z9 (3), @babyfolio (1)

Inference workloads projected to grow from 50% to 65% of total compute allocation next year, reflecting accelerating shift toward inference-focused architectures.

CXL / Memory Disaggregation

2.0x
9 mentions • driven by @jukan05 (1)

Intel's analysis suggests CXL connections are necessary for effective KV cache offloading beyond GPU memory, positioning CXL as a critical infrastructure layer for accelerator efficiency.

Co-Packaged Optics (CPO)

2.0x
116 mentions • driven by @ParadisLabs (2), @aleabitoreddit (1), @jukan05 (1)

Optical components (CPO/LPO) operating at capacity limits with strong pricing power, indicating tight supply-demand balance.

HBM Supply

1.4x
169 mentions • driven by @zephyr_z9 (12), @ParadisLabs (9), @jukan05 (8)

SK Hynix is investing tens of trillions of won in a new memory fab in Japan, signaling commitment to expanding HBM/DRAM capacity amid AI infrastructure demand.

MSFTMicrosoft
EDGAR ↗
Capex
FCF
QoQ %
Source
2026Q2
$35.8B
$19.6B
+16.0%
2026Q1
$30.9B
$15.8B
+3.3%
2025Q4
$29.9B
$5.9B
+54.0%
2025Q3
$19.4B
$25.7B
+13.6%
2025Q2
$17.1B
$25.6B
+2.0%
2025Q1
$16.7B
$20.3B
+6.0%
2024Q4
$15.8B
$6.5B
+5.9%
2024Q3
$14.9B
$19.3B
+7.6%
GOOGAlphabet
EDGAR ↗
Capex
FCF
QoQ %
Source
2026Q2
$44.9B
$-5.9B
+25.9%
2026Q1
$35.7B
$10.1B
+28.1%
2025Q4
$27.9B
$24.6B
+16.3%
2025Q3
$24.0B
$24.5B
+6.7%
2025Q2
$22.4B
$5.3B
+30.5%
2025Q1
$17.2B
$19.0B
+20.5%
2024Q4
$14.3B
$24.8B
+9.3%
2024Q3
$13.1B
$17.6B
-0.9%
METAMeta Platforms
EDGAR ↗
Capex
FCF
QoQ %
Source
2026Q2
$30.1B
$1.7B
+58.5%
2026Q1
$19.0B
$13.2B
-11.2%
2025Q4
$21.4B
$14.8B
+13.6%
2025Q3
$18.8B
$11.2B
+13.9%
2025Q2
$16.5B
$9.0B
+27.8%
2025Q1
$12.9B
$11.1B
-10.3%
2024Q4
$14.4B
$13.6B
+74.7%
2024Q3
$8.3B
$16.5B
+1.0%
AMZNAmazon
EDGAR ↗
Capex
FCF
QoQ %
Source
2026Q2
$54.2B
$-8.8B
+22.6%
2026Q1
$44.2B
$-18.2B
+11.8%
2025Q4
$39.5B
$14.9B
+12.6%
2025Q3
$35.1B
$0.4B
+9.0%
2025Q2
$32.2B
$0.3B
+28.6%
2025Q1
$25.0B
$-8.0B
-10.1%
2024Q4
$27.8B
$17.8B
+23.1%
2024Q3
$22.6B
$3.4B
+28.4%
ORCLOracle
EDGAR ↗
Capex
FCF
QoQ %
Source
2026Q2
$16.5B
$-1.9B
-11.5%
2026Q1
$18.6B
$-11.5B
+54.9%
2025Q4
$12.0B
$-10.0B
+41.5%
2025Q3
$8.5B
$-0.4B
-6.4%
2025Q2
$9.1B
$-2.9B
+54.9%
2025Q1
$5.9B
$0.1B
+47.7%
2024Q4
$4.0B
$-2.7B
+72.4%
2024Q3
$2.3B
$5.1B
-17.7%
Aegis