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Price
$1,929
USD
Day
-0.0%
YTD
—
Point-in-time evaluation
wait
Thesis intact post-Q1 beat, but 16% PT upside is thin and price drifted off $1,400 support — wait for pullback or July 15 Q2 print.
Apr 27, 01:56 p.m.
External signal
Q1 2026: €8.8B sales, 53% gross margin, €2.8B net income; 2026 net sales guidance raised to €36B-€40B. ASML became Europe's most valuable listed company in early June on higher EUV output expectations. JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley raised price targets; Public.com Buy consensus $1,545.88 is materially stale vs spot $1,867.83 (+20.8% above prior consensus).
Jun 19, 05:33 a.m.Source: 2026-06-19_premarket.mdConsensus PT: $1,719
Research feed
Latest imported research note for this ticker.
longwatch
Imported thesis
Rank 3; EUV monopoly. The singular non-replicable chokepoint for advanced-node capacity. 2026 guide EUR36-40B.
Imported reasoning
EUV monopoly thesis intact; Q1 2026 beat with Q2 guide slightly light vs consensus (EUR8.7B vs EUR9.08B); JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley issued bullish updates and price ($1,749) now trades above analyst consensus PT (~$1,696); RSI 72.9 signals near-term stretch. No tripwire breach; hold and watch for re-entry on any pullback toward entry zone.
Last imported
Jun 10, 03:01 a.m.
Source report
2026-06-10_core_refresh_brief.md
Owned position 1 holding
Share totals, account placement, average cost, and trigger-based entry levels remain private.
Watchlist notes
Public watchlist context and imported research metadata.
Thesis
Rank 3 — EUV monopoly. The singular non-replicable chokepoint for advanced-node capacity. 2026 guide €36-40B. Selected over TSM/AMAT/LRCX because Article II favors the hardest-to-replicate bottleneck.
Sleeve
semicap
Consensus PT (USD)
$1,719
Holdings
1 holding recorded for this ticker. Share totals, account placement, and cost basis remain private.
Social Signal — last 90 days
@jukan05
1 mention · 0 bullish / 1 bearish
U.S. government suspects ASML may have exported controlled EUV lithography tools or components to China, creating regulatory and geopolitical risk.
@aleabitoreddit
1 mention · 0 bullish / 1 bearish
Equipment vendors like ASML benefit from cycle start/middle but face downside in late-cycle phases; tactical cyclical timing argues against long-term holding.