GuestUnlock
← Back to watchlist
AMD
Researchlow convictionlow potentialarchived
Advanced Micro Devices Inc
$473
USD
+0.8%
Preview
Post-earnings
AMD Q1 clean beat ($10.25B/$1.37); Q2 raised to $11.2B; Meta 6GW MI450 deal — read-through to LITE/HBM/power.
May 5, 03:30 p.m.
Article III exclusion; surface only. Q1 2026 revenue $10.253B (+38% YoY); server CPU revenue expected to grow >70% YoY in Q2 with continued growth into 2H26/2027; Meta expanded relationship to up to 6 GW of AMD Instinct GPU deployments across generations. Meta 6 GW Instinct framework is materially positive AMD-specific datapoint and a useful tape-read for broader AI-accelerator demand. Consumer/gaming revenue expected to decline Q2.
Jun 8, 05:34 a.m.Source: 2026-06-08_premarket.mdConsensus PT: $296
Latest imported research note for this ticker.
neutralavoidzephyr_z9
Imported thesis
Merchant x86/GPU — does not capture the 2028-2030 architecture-transition leverage point. Custom-silicon orchestration share accrues to Arm-IP licensees (MRVL, in roster). Article III exclusion.
Imported reasoning
Article III hard exclusion. Venice CPU efficiency thesis is interesting but architecture-transition leverage (Graviton/Cobalt/Axion) accrues to Arm-IP licensees, not AMD's merchant stack. Prior Q1 guidance selloff (-8.5%) confirms elevated expectations risk. MRVL in roster already captures the custom-silicon / DSP leverage point. Skip regardless of catalyst quality.
Last imported
Aug 16, 05:45 a.m.
Source report
2026-08-16_premarket.md
Private trigger details hidden
Research and watchlist context are visible. Trigger levels and other private portfolio fields remain hidden.
Public watchlist context and imported research metadata.
Thesis
Merchant x86/GPU — does not capture the 2028-2030 architecture-transition leverage point. Custom-silicon orchestration share accrues to Arm-IP licensees (MRVL, in roster). Article III exclusion.
Sleeve
silicon
Consensus PT (USD)
$296
No holdings recorded for this ticker.
Held by SA-LP — long puts — 7.1% of fund (4,764,100 underlying sh, new) as of 2026-03-31
Held by SA-LP — 0.1% of fund (99,138 sh, new) as of 2026-03-31
@jukan05
9 mentions · 7 bullish / 1 bearish
Aug 9bearishmediumSource ↗

Foreign chip suppliers (NVIDIA, AMD) expected to see combined China shipment share decline to ~10% by 2026.

Aug 5bullishmediumSource ↗

AMD's MI500 is expected to outperform Nvidia's Rubin Ultra in hardware performance metrics.

Jul 24bullishhighSource ↗

AMD securing imminent definitive agreement with Samsung for large-scale HBM4 supply, addressing critical memory capacity constraints.

Jul 22bullishobservationSource ↗

AMD is collaborating with Anthropic to integrate Claude AI models into chip design workflows, signaling the growing role of generative AI in semiconductor engineering optimization.

Jul 22bullishmediumSource ↗

AMD is signing multi-year server CPU supply agreements with major Chinese customers amid surging prices and constrained supply, reflecting strong demand and pricing power.

Jul 23bullishhighSource ↗

AMD's partnership with Anthropic and deployment of Claude Code for chip design will accelerate ROCm development and narrow the competitive gap with NVIDIA's CUDA ecosystem.

Jul 21bullishobservationSource ↗

Analyst expects AMD-Anthropic partnership to exceed deal values of prior OpenAI and Meta AI investments, signaling AMD's strategic AI commitment.

Jun 16bullishmediumSource ↗

AMD securing custom CPU production capacity at Samsung foundry for 2028 mass production.

Jun 5neutralobservationSource ↗

AMD EPYC processors are selected by NVIDIA for switch infrastructure.

@ParadisLabs
5 mentions · 5 bullish / 0 bearish
Aug 4bullishmediumSource ↗

AMD Q2 results beat on revenue, operating margin, and EPS, indicating strong execution across metrics.

Aug 4bullishmediumSource ↗

AMD's Q3 revenue guidance exceeds consensus, signaling continued demand strength.

Aug 4bullishmediumSource ↗

AMD's strong Q2 beat with data center revenue doubling and raised Q3 guidance justify investment thesis despite elevated capex.

Aug 4bullishlowSource ↗

AMD's investment in xAI signals bullish exposure to frontier AI model development.

Jun 6bullishhighSource ↗

AMD, like NVDA and TSM, is a high-quality AI infrastructure name embedded in multi-year growth theses that will appreciate with rising hyperscaler capex.

@aleabitoreddit
2 mentions · 2 bullish / 0 bearish
Jul 21bullishobservationSource ↗

Semiconductor and AI infrastructure names posted substantial daily gains in a historic single-day recovery session.

May 27bullishmediumSource ↗

AMD is advancing CPO architecture with multiple optical supplier selections, positioning as competitor to NVDA in interconnect solutions.

@zephyr_z9
2 mentions · 2 bullish / 0 bearish
Jul 18bullishlowSource ↗

AMD expected to gain adoption in computing

Jun 8bullishmediumSource ↗

Foundry capacity allocation may shift toward AMD over Intel based on prioritization patterns.